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Frozen pre-match forecast · #32271

L'Escala VS Martinenc

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 05:30 UTC
Match kickoff
27 Sep 2026 · 10:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
39.32%
Draw
28.21%
Away
32.48%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.5533
Log loss
0.9335

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 05:30 UTC
SHA-256
9106d386635dcf20e783abf9e1325a4731c1f8a5c7a2a01068bb230e4bbd17f2

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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