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Frozen pre-match forecast · #32216

Dukla Praha II VS Bohemians 1905 II

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 05:29 UTC
Match kickoff
27 Sep 2026 · 08:15 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
56.92%
Draw
19.78%
Away
23.30%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 290-minute result
Brier score
1.0218
Log loss
1.6205

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 05:29 UTC
SHA-256
31c3548a0da975685b29748dd56abe814d20e066db298996468ac88999817b85

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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