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Frozen pre-match forecast · #32139

PSTC Procopense VS AA Iguaçu

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 05:27 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 21:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
56.03%
Draw
24.83%
Away
19.14%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.9156
Log loss
1.3931

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 05:27 UTC
SHA-256
3fd4c7c0094ad489ee1f480d200c22b58f1f5ce924e1a30539b8aa367c8a96ec

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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