Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #32105

Berazategui VS Sacachispas

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 05:27 UTC
Match kickoff
27 Sep 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
42.64%
Draw
30.61%
Away
26.74%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.4942
Log loss
0.8523

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 05:27 UTC
SHA-256
fbd150129f79e6b534f8c123e60abb39cf1e9e95be475c08bae7c16d7ed98e72

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →