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Frozen pre-match forecast · #32051

Mandel United VS Sporting Hasselt

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 05:25 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
37.57%
Draw
20.97%
Away
41.47%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.5277
Log loss
0.8803

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 05:25 UTC
SHA-256
6ac3c8715550c661b34d86598505f8fba754db9f5e4d8ab696f0ea37fe1ca967

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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