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Frozen pre-match forecast · #32034

Meux VS Onhaye

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 05:25 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
48.12%
Draw
19.34%
Away
32.54%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.4124
Log loss
0.7315

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 05:25 UTC
SHA-256
66e83de9b0ee8a971cce637b24a5558a676531b0aa9ed0197ef0877e23991b58

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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