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Frozen pre-match forecast · #31878

Andratx VS Ibiza Islas Pitiusas

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 05:23 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
42.72%
Draw
21.04%
Away
36.24%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.9373
Log loss
1.5587

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 05:23 UTC
SHA-256
a00758f3a982eb42d77a4f21ce763c9a8143ef3722fda1c0d3af63fddf26fb02

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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