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Frozen pre-match forecast · #31837

FC Slutsk VS Gomel II

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 05:22 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 12:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
71.43%
Draw
17.97%
Away
10.60%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

4 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.1252
Log loss
0.3365

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 05:22 UTC
SHA-256
5348938efdcf6959671f21f5003b6996735e60cf7039142d21e2d70cab4e4a4f

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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