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Frozen pre-match forecast · #31810

Juventud Torremolinos VS Algeciras

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 05:22 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 14:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
43.05%
Draw
26.79%
Away
30.15%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.7450
Log loss
1.1989

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 05:22 UTC
SHA-256
b6f8a666f80773ec766486f7ee5799e750ce3dc6306b7ed91a3e85968a5b1c95

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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