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Frozen pre-match forecast · #31772

Moneyfields VS Wimborne Town

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 05:21 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
34.58%
Draw
22.53%
Away
42.88%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.4966
Log loss
0.8467

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 05:21 UTC
SHA-256
699e90fe8057c8e23b4dd8f2df49f57dd614ca34a538440e47ea13657528c876

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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