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Frozen pre-match forecast · #31732

Partizan VS Lokomotiv Mezdra

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 05:20 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
28.44%
Draw
16.98%
Away
54.58%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 290-minute result
Brier score
1.0680
Log loss
1.7731

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 05:20 UTC
SHA-256
3b3302ec5da6b81973dc42c83de3523c1ae5455d280ddd545ca75dd32b9eed63

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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