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Frozen pre-match forecast · #3164

Odishi 1919 VS Telavi

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
16 Sep 2026 · 05:42 UTC
Match kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
22.36%
Draw
39.27%
Away
38.37%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.5660
Log loss
0.9347

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
16 Sep 2026 · 05:42 UTC
SHA-256
ed42c89b30243e3ed1bc00cc02855828cbd48dd310af52fc7853fa5d40a3431b

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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