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Frozen pre-match forecast · #31629

Ross County VS Hearts U21

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 05:19 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
61.74%
Draw
18.32%
Away
19.94%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

14 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.2197
Log loss
0.4822

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 05:19 UTC
SHA-256
efe87b6a2c37663c516eeba96279c341329a60adcbf8f821471f0f4550b755bd

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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