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Frozen pre-match forecast · #31522

Wycombe VS Reading

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 05:17 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
37.76%
Draw
26.81%
Away
35.43%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.8038
Log loss
1.3164

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 05:17 UTC
SHA-256
e00ae239448e64ff7d70a43aaceac465ed25b0dd421dec2c68240681c9591b4c

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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