Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #31472

Septemvri Dragoevo VS Benkovski Isperih

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 05:16 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 13:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
41.47%
Draw
20.97%
Away
37.57%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.9377
Log loss
1.5622

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 05:16 UTC
SHA-256
38718080a065439094b1aa0d0c640c8504f67f2df2a62bf1f919e9a3c7a81da6

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →