Frozen pre-match forecast · #31459
Ried II VS Seekirchen
The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.
- Published before kickoff
- 23 Sep 2026 · 05:16 UTC
- Match kickoff
- 26 Sep 2026 · 13:30 UTC
- Record status
- Graded
Before kickoff
Published probabilities
- Home
- 39.60%
- Draw
- 22.09%
- Away
- 38.31%
These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.
View every retained version of this fixture →After the final whistle
Result & grading
- Brier score
- 0.5862
- Log loss
- 0.9595
Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.
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About this record and its grading
- Model version
- legacy
- Captured at
- 23 Sep 2026 · 05:16 UTC
- SHA-256
- fd7ef543bff91d38850729db0c7117cc21f610ddeffe86f18111922e61dc27a7
The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.
Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.