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Frozen pre-match forecast · #31419

Spišská Nová Ves VS Poprad

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 05:16 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 13:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
44.44%
Draw
24.47%
Away
31.09%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.4652
Log loss
0.8110

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 05:16 UTC
SHA-256
f2f0af2ce15ed6fcb48d59e556c1002a8f5685b4cd38280051cc7abfef4b4fc3

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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