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Frozen pre-match forecast · #31244

SpVgg Unterhaching VS Eichstätt

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 05:13 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
56.21%
Draw
21.80%
Away
21.99%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.9758
Log loss
1.5233

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 05:13 UTC
SHA-256
8283f32b74c3078534a03f8de17e88d30a0176a2eb0a7780ee3d84fdc3a9aafb

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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