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Frozen pre-match forecast · #31236

Frem VS Sundby

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 05:13 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
57.02%
Draw
19.23%
Away
23.75%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.9435
Log loss
1.4376

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 05:13 UTC
SHA-256
0596bb59681f08c4b5927b674cf48ea675f0b059145a2c32b0918d715f88cf76

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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