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Frozen pre-match forecast · #31168

Troszyn VS ŁKS Łódź II

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 05:12 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 11:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
30.74%
Draw
17.56%
Away
51.70%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
1.0414
Log loss
1.7395

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 05:12 UTC
SHA-256
976b161a61f3893258969d027517621d172c5b7dd956e5dd3d7750937a53484a

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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