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Frozen pre-match forecast · #31155

IF Ready VS SF Grei

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 05:11 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 11:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
69.14%
Draw
16.06%
Away
14.80%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 390-minute result
Brier score
1.2297
Log loss
1.9105

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 05:11 UTC
SHA-256
a64ee3b304f34dea92bb7585ea21e613fc2d9eed46ed455d782aa7c0d1329920

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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