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Frozen pre-match forecast · #31104

Loko Vltavín VS Králův Dvůr

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 05:11 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 08:15 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
33.94%
Draw
20.19%
Away
45.87%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.4490
Log loss
0.7794

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 05:11 UTC
SHA-256
bd746f6a3f5b1c8dd713ea6c2de06e3cd91ee5304f7056268af1a06e6f25d13d

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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