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Frozen pre-match forecast · #31001

Cobh Ramblers VS Athlone Town

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 05:09 UTC
Match kickoff
25 Sep 2026 · 18:45 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
36.07%
Draw
27.13%
Away
36.81%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.7966
Log loss
1.3046

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 05:09 UTC
SHA-256
972eb7c5cb07777e02977cc5e0fa42941ce05c3cef56b15e702f31413906f7e0

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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