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Frozen pre-match forecast · #30988

Atlante U21 VS Monterrey U21

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 05:08 UTC
Match kickoff
25 Sep 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
26.99%
Draw
25.79%
Away
47.22%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

5 – 490-minute result
Brier score
0.8225
Log loss
1.3097

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 05:08 UTC
SHA-256
4e499a154aa56fe1497a2e675cd2ea9d2a763b09ade71a28553e5c92701c1566

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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