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Frozen pre-match forecast · #30940

Neudrossenfeld VS DJK Bamberg

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 05:08 UTC
Match kickoff
25 Sep 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
51.55%
Draw
20.30%
Away
28.15%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.9802
Log loss
1.5945

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 05:08 UTC
SHA-256
d016b0048bde7c27440b4ea195b330f5455b9389ba0b70d0841b2dbf6a33495f

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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