Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #30873

Zlín II VS Vítkovice

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 05:07 UTC
Match kickoff
25 Sep 2026 · 13:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
39.08%
Draw
21.90%
Away
39.01%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.5727
Log loss
0.9413

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 05:07 UTC
SHA-256
3d87746128bcac38c78e43a9c2f7290e0c42f1cd7aedf59be9429b6f3db9f692

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →