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Frozen pre-match forecast · #30747

Leicester City WFC VS London City Lionesses

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 05:04 UTC
Match kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 18:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
15.51%
Draw
18.27%
Away
66.22%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.1715
Log loss
0.4122

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 05:04 UTC
SHA-256
765ab764bb3edd953d0c262e50a590be219a4b74ff3d5e1449a105639812a1b6

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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