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Frozen pre-match forecast · #30742

TOGB VS ROHDA Raalte

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 05:04 UTC
Match kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
19.92%
Draw
17.82%
Away
62.26%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

4 – 690-minute result
Brier score
0.2139
Log loss
0.4739

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 05:04 UTC
SHA-256
5370d6cb7cf48633e2301953b8e71afd91aa78965a55eea7296d3197defb453f

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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