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Frozen pre-match forecast · #30677

Enyimba VS Sporting Lagos

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 05:03 UTC
Match kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
51.67%
Draw
28.57%
Away
19.76%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.9924
Log loss
1.6215

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 05:03 UTC
SHA-256
46cb156dfe9675e6590ff9e3382f325ba5e1e38e25febe7c35c6ff69a4e541bf

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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