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Frozen pre-match forecast · #30597

Stade Soussien VS AS Agareb

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 05:02 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
42.92%
Draw
29.50%
Away
27.58%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.7573
Log loss
1.2208

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 05:02 UTC
SHA-256
02c52e7621f1f3fe7857bdb7f3650fb5e9979bd482f18c810801753a755cdb2e

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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