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Frozen pre-match forecast · #30487

Olympique Safi VS Chabab Ben Guerir

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 02:01 UTC
Match kickoff
04 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
35.74%
Draw
32.44%
Away
31.83%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.6195
Log loss
1.0290

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 02:01 UTC
SHA-256
d319acd8b3c355f71c0e8cb05d71576a6d90f58213025d6c677e9e1d5a5a2827

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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