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Frozen pre-match forecast · #30475

Weymouth VS SE Dons

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 02:01 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Forecast retained

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
41.21%
Draw
21.58%
Away
37.21%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

Waiting for the final result

This forecast is already retained. Grading appears once a final regulation score is confirmed.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 02:01 UTC
SHA-256
29b2af6224cf9f679385a82a8291ab7caaef5b8a122f2cfe94d5032514859f42

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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