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Frozen pre-match forecast · #30351

Brøndby W VS Sporting CP W

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 01:00 UTC
Match kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
39.53%
Draw
25.46%
Away
35.01%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

4 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.5531
Log loss
0.9281

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 01:00 UTC
SHA-256
fd712bda0339f6eb49d89211938dd6ed0d2bfb9fd7f799277837cba5d04e8b2f

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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