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Frozen pre-match forecast · #30326

Saudi Arabia VS Kuwait

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
22 Sep 2026 · 23:00 UTC
Match kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
63.18%
Draw
21.97%
Away
14.85%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.2059
Log loss
0.4592

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
22 Sep 2026 · 23:00 UTC
SHA-256
6f2833e0c0874e62685a18b620983e82cb4e8f11683d9c5bc53f36769aa4ce6d

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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