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Frozen pre-match forecast · #30166

RC Kouba VS WA Tlemcen

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
22 Sep 2026 · 05:59 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
53.81%
Draw
26.19%
Away
20.00%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.3219
Log loss
0.6197

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
22 Sep 2026 · 05:59 UTC
SHA-256
5e8000d8294dadb1d4976969e30e52ad1accf0396777f13e8c0b934f34aafcc8

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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