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Frozen pre-match forecast · #30164

IRB Nezla VS JS Jijel

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
22 Sep 2026 · 05:59 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
17.18%
Draw
29.11%
Away
53.71%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
1.0591
Log loss
1.7614

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
22 Sep 2026 · 05:59 UTC
SHA-256
82ed6cbb5792373a3f9f45112c51421e184df4ec037d339939ea6868d461dbad

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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