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Frozen pre-match forecast · #30162

Mostaganem VS Hussein Dey

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
22 Sep 2026 · 05:58 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
58.21%
Draw
21.40%
Away
20.39%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.2620
Log loss
0.5411

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
22 Sep 2026 · 05:58 UTC
SHA-256
f39a4e6a06ce7488f8b44cd2b1771181140d7cdeaf6ef39a2a1b60f66cd0c05f

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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