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Frozen pre-match forecast · #30133

Wimborne Town VS Weston-super-Mare

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
22 Sep 2026 · 05:58 UTC
Match kickoff
22 Sep 2026 · 18:45 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
37.07%
Draw
19.85%
Away
43.09%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.9655
Log loss
1.6171

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
22 Sep 2026 · 05:58 UTC
SHA-256
3fbe66c940d8bb10c5a75c8134dfc013b5fe5b5378c133337e549b3876bd9633

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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