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Frozen pre-match forecast · #29966

Cibao VS Jarabacoa

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
22 Sep 2026 · 05:55 UTC
Match kickoff
27 Sep 2026 · 22:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
74.27%
Draw
21.13%
Away
4.60%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.1130
Log loss
0.2975

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
22 Sep 2026 · 05:55 UTC
SHA-256
e05f711e91e3e12401d6f5b31fd40ce41a457ec8149170c845a45d80905c3a98

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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