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Frozen pre-match forecast · #29839

Sineu VS Manacor

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
22 Sep 2026 · 05:52 UTC
Match kickoff
27 Sep 2026 · 10:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
26.03%
Draw
21.10%
Away
52.87%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 490-minute result
Brier score
0.3344
Log loss
0.6373

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
22 Sep 2026 · 05:52 UTC
SHA-256
20db294bf58c333a30db039fc2f7a287e680a0852c5fc6ddd378b23a27173d17

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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