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Frozen pre-match forecast · #29792

Boiro VS Villalbés

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
22 Sep 2026 · 05:52 UTC
Match kickoff
27 Sep 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
42.57%
Draw
28.07%
Away
29.36%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.7848
Log loss
1.2705

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
22 Sep 2026 · 05:52 UTC
SHA-256
cb6887f53e3312f983ba1d7d535def729024e2be25eeca8922dad94b0c5511f4

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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