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Frozen pre-match forecast · #29719

Real Zaragoza II VS Robres

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
22 Sep 2026 · 05:50 UTC
Match kickoff
27 Sep 2026 · 10:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
66.99%
Draw
26.55%
Away
6.46%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

4 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.1836
Log loss
0.4006

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
22 Sep 2026 · 05:50 UTC
SHA-256
8319edfa1a94e403af70b8bfcf6d2c4d23f7dd8e88c54b21c609bac2fe993977

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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