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Frozen pre-match forecast · #29641

Hajdúnánás VS Eger

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
22 Sep 2026 · 05:49 UTC
Match kickoff
27 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
51.24%
Draw
20.71%
Away
28.05%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

5 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.3593
Log loss
0.6686

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
22 Sep 2026 · 05:49 UTC
SHA-256
81916a88670b4bc878c15cfa155caf94ca3386ef653440ff3e6e5b2d80c099b2

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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