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Frozen pre-match forecast · #29627

CSKA Sofia II VS Sportist Svoge

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
22 Sep 2026 · 05:48 UTC
Match kickoff
27 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
60.43%
Draw
23.81%
Away
15.76%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.2381
Log loss
0.5037

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
22 Sep 2026 · 05:48 UTC
SHA-256
85ddad52cf8b6db094a6ec799dbf94ea031d65a8178b967dcd5e4bec20877c61

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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