Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #29544

Pro Patria VS Solbiatese

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
22 Sep 2026 · 05:47 UTC
Match kickoff
27 Sep 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
61.50%
Draw
24.24%
Away
14.26%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
1.1721
Log loss
1.9477

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
22 Sep 2026 · 05:47 UTC
SHA-256
d3ef24dae163bfa41870208171dc1a089ee033b4f9730de845f7c8f055157891

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →