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Frozen pre-match forecast · #29511

Valenzana VS Borgosesia

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
22 Sep 2026 · 05:46 UTC
Match kickoff
27 Sep 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
34.02%
Draw
34.99%
Away
30.99%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.7144
Log loss
1.1715

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
22 Sep 2026 · 05:46 UTC
SHA-256
3fbbd2db1b561f5db94069371396f188e9fefb55c36f32364a3b68ab9a3a2a07

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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