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Frozen pre-match forecast · #29489

Panedessaikos VS Mpam

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
22 Sep 2026 · 05:46 UTC
Match kickoff
27 Sep 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
41.10%
Draw
27.49%
Away
31.41%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.7933
Log loss
1.2913

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
22 Sep 2026 · 05:46 UTC
SHA-256
52dfacfc781269c06c90f5e129a17b9c2dc0468fbef5dd147142f4dca8e769a3

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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