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Frozen pre-match forecast · #29469

SF Baumberg VS Germania Ratingen

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
22 Sep 2026 · 05:45 UTC
Match kickoff
27 Sep 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
35.94%
Draw
36.90%
Away
27.16%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.7959
Log loss
1.3034

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
22 Sep 2026 · 05:45 UTC
SHA-256
a9fec73dc95f861a0364eb4c8bb87d0c0eacc68407c7028196f3303139e7c550

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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