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Frozen pre-match forecast · #29444

Stockay-Warfusée VS Jette

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
22 Sep 2026 · 05:45 UTC
Match kickoff
27 Sep 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
39.00%
Draw
21.21%
Away
39.79%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.5596
Log loss
0.9216

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
22 Sep 2026 · 05:45 UTC
SHA-256
3592d2b99d21127379cfa767df91dcee9225cb8c7fcaac6da46dc46245006caf

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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