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Frozen pre-match forecast · #29412

Cherepovets VS Dinamo Vologda

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
22 Sep 2026 · 05:44 UTC
Match kickoff
27 Sep 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
45.71%
Draw
23.34%
Away
30.95%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.7402
Log loss
1.1728

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
22 Sep 2026 · 05:44 UTC
SHA-256
9ae8be4e7f1475943c62dab0a69e7f35cb36db5ba4b533222ea895a0b9ec1827

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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